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2024-12-14 10:12:44

BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.Russian Ministry of Defence: Russian armed forces occupied seven settlements in one week.The yield of 10-year treasury bonds approached 1.8%. On December 12, the bond market continued its strong market, and the yield of 10-year treasury bonds approached the important mark of 1.8%, and the short-term interest rate bonds appeared to make up the market. Analysts believe that the downside of the current policy interest rate is open, and the market interest rate may accelerate to a balanced low. At the same time, the market is gradually overdrawn, and the institution advises investors to pay attention to the allocation value of local government bonds and rationally arrange the trend investment opportunities at the end of the year and the beginning of the year. (SSE)


Venezuelan authorities said that 103 people arrested after the July elections were released this week.Apple is said to start producing a key wireless chip currently provided by Broadcom next year. Apple's ambition to use self-developed components on its equipment will include switching to Bluetooth and Wi-Fi connection chips developed by itself from next year, which will replace some components currently provided by Broadcom. According to informed sources, this chip code-named Proxima has been developed for several years, and now it is planned to start the first batch of production in 2025. Like other self-developed chips of Apple, Proxima will be produced by its partner TSMC. This plan is independent of Apple's much-anticipated plan to replace the Qualcomm wireless modem, but the two parts will eventually work together. People familiar with the matter said that Apple's goal is to develop an end-to-end wireless solution that is tightly integrated with other components and more energy-efficient.The self-built valuation model of bank wealth managers has met with "standardization": some institutions have re-adopted the strategy of excess return of the bank's tier-2 capital bonds with the valuation system of China Securities and China Securities, and recently, the regulatory authorities issued a document to the bank wealth management subsidiary, demanding that the self-built valuation model should not be used to smooth the net value fluctuation, and the valuation standards provided by third parties such as China Securities and China Securities should be adopted, and self-inspection and rectification should be carried out. The purpose of this move is to prevent the bank's wealth management subsidiaries from adjusting product income through self-built models, and to carry out "fund pool" business in disguise to ensure market fairness. At present, a number of bank wealth management subsidiaries have received this document, and have begun to adjust the net value calculation methods of day-opening and closed wealth management products, and re-adopt third-party valuation for investment products such as bank tier 2 capital bonds. A person from a bank financing subsidiary told reporters that he heard that the financial supervision department held a small-scale meeting last week, asking the bank financing subsidiary to respect the new asset management rules and not to violate accounting standards. In addition, the relevant departments also require the financial subsidiaries of banks that have used the self-built valuation model to carry out rectification, and the financial subsidiaries that have been notified shall submit corresponding rectification plans and measures reports within one month. In the view of the above-mentioned bank wealth managers, it is not excluded that some bank wealth management subsidiaries have lowered the allocation ratio of bank tier-2 capital bonds due to the influence of regulatory policies, because when the self-built valuation model is "standardized", the strategy of over-allocating bank tier-2 capital bonds to obtain excess returns becomes increasingly difficult when the net product value fluctuates relatively smoothly. (per meridian)


Guterres: Syria's credible, orderly and inclusive transitional arrangements must be supported. UN Secretary-General Guterres issued a statement through a spokesman, expressing deep concern about the recent widespread violation of Syria's sovereignty and territorial integrity. The statement specifically mentioned hundreds of air strikes by Israel against Syria, and said that there is an urgent need to alleviate violence in all aspects of Syria. Guterres said that the 1974 Disengagement of Forces Agreement is still valid, and he condemned all actions inconsistent with the Agreement and called on the parties to the Agreement to fulfill their obligations, including ending all unauthorized presence in the separation zone. The statement stressed that while maintaining public order, it is necessary to support Syria's credible, orderly and inclusive transitional arrangements.White House: Biden's approval of an aid program to Ukraine will provide more air defense systems, etc. On December 12, local time, John Kirby, strategic communication coordinator of the US White House National Security Council, said at the White House briefing that day that US President Biden approved a new Ukrainian security assistance program on the 12 th, which will provide Ukraine with more air defense systems, artillery, drones and armored vehicles. Kirby said that this is the 72nd such material deployment assistance announced by the United States, and the United States will continue to provide additional aid packages until the end of the current government.Market News: If Trump increases import duties on Canada, Canada will consider imposing export duties on uranium and oil.

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